Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.1% vs Fiddler 51.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 71.9%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 80.4%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 62.1%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Arcobello
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Arcobello
Fiddler
Last 7: Arcobello 5-2 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
Arcobello
Fiddler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
4
1
Arcobello
Fiddler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
1
0
Arcobello
Fiddler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (858)
51.8% (819)
-1.8%
Power Play
62.1% (58)
37.9% (29)
+24.2%
Penalty Kill
26.1% (23)
53.8% (249)
-27.7%
On penalty kill, Fiddler has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Arcobello is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Arcobello shoots right. Fiddler is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Fiddler
Home
52.7% (478)
51.1% (546)
Away
47.5% (461)
52.6% (551)
By Period
Arcobello
Fiddler
P1
52.4%
51.3%
P2
51.7%
53.7%
P3
46.4%
51.3%
OT
57.1%
22.2%
Final 5 min
47.5%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.2%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |