Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Fiddler 52.0% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fiddler 59.5%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 91.3%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 78.7%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Bjugstad
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Bjugstad
Fiddler
Last 7: Bjugstad 6-1 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
1
Bjugstad
Fiddler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Fiddler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
0
Bjugstad
Fiddler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (937)
55.4% (737)
-7.1%
Power Play
56.1% (148)
56.7% (30)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
34.2% (38)
40.9% (215)
-6.7%
On even strength, Fiddler has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Bjugstad shoots right. Fiddler is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Fiddler
Home
50.5% (574)
54.0% (489)
Away
47.2% (549)
50.5% (493)
By Period
Bjugstad
Fiddler
P1
52.4%
52.9%
P2
46.8%
51.6%
P3
45.5%
52.6%
OT
78.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
48.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |