Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cousins wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cousins 43.8% vs Fiddler 53.2% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 91.2%
Defensive zone
Cousins 58.2%
Neutral zone
Cousins 77.8%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Cousins
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Cousins
Fiddler
Last 6: Cousins 1-5 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
2
Cousins
Fiddler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
Cousins
Fiddler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
2
Cousins
Fiddler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cousins
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (202)
54.7% (561)
-15.1%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
62.5% (8)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.3% (120)
+51.7%
On penalty kill, Cousins has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Cousins is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Cousins shoots left. Fiddler is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Cousins
Fiddler
Home
35.9% (117)
53.9% (308)
Away
47.0% (100)
53.5% (381)
By Period
Cousins
Fiddler
P1
41.3%
53.1%
P2
47.3%
53.2%
P3
33.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
41.0%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |