Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 50.7%). Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 51.2% vs Fiddler 50.7% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 57.1%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 59.1%
Neutral zone
Spaling 50.5%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Spaling
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Spaling
Fiddler
Last 8: Spaling 3-5 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
0
Spaling
Fiddler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
3
Spaling
Fiddler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
2
Spaling
Fiddler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (461)
52.4% (590)
+0.1%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
48.3% (29)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
47.5% (278)
-0.9%
On power play, Spaling has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Spaling is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Spaling shoots left. Fiddler is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Spaling
Fiddler
Home
57.2% (297)
51.6% (434)
Away
45.7% (304)
49.9% (463)
By Period
Spaling
Fiddler
P1
54.2%
45.4%
P2
46.6%
52.1%
P3
54.3%
54.3%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.4%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 08:33 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |