Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.8% vs Fiddler 50.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 66.9%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 51.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 60.1%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Carter
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Carter
Fiddler
Last 6: Carter 2-4 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
Carter
Fiddler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
2
Carter
Fiddler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Fiddler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (390)
51.3% (840)
-1.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
60.0% (15)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (33)
47.8% (186)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Carter is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Carter shoots left. Fiddler is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Carter
Fiddler
Home
51.5% (171)
53.0% (530)
Away
48.7% (261)
48.7% (519)
By Period
Carter
Fiddler
P1
50.7%
53.3%
P2
48.4%
50.4%
P3
50.4%
48.2%
Final 5 min
43.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.8%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |