Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kalinin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kalinin wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kalinin 43.6% vs Fiddler 50.7% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kalinin 75.9%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 63.8%
Neutral zone
Kalinin 53.9%
Result
Sergey Kalinin favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Kalinin
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kalinin
Fiddler
Last 5: Kalinin 2-3 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kalinin
2
1
Kalinin
Fiddler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
2
Kalinin
Fiddler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kalinin
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (298)
52.4% (590)
-10.1%
Power Play
29.4% (17)
48.3% (29)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
47.5% (278)
-4.6%
On power play, Fiddler has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Kalinin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Kalinin shoots left. Fiddler is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Kalinin
Fiddler
Home
42.8% (173)
51.6% (434)
Away
40.3% (149)
49.9% (463)
By Period
Kalinin
Fiddler
P1
39.8%
45.4%
P2
44.1%
52.1%
P3
40.2%
54.3%
Final 5 min
37.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.6%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2016 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |