Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gionta wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 43.1% vs Fiddler 50.7% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 75.7%
Defensive zone
Gionta 71.7%
Neutral zone
Gionta 73.2%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Gionta
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gionta
Fiddler
Last 5: Gionta 1-4 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
Gionta
Fiddler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
3
Gionta
Fiddler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (612)
52.4% (590)
-10.6%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
48.3% (29)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (66)
47.5% (278)
-6.6%
On power play, Gionta has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Gionta is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Gionta shoots right. Fiddler is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Gionta
Fiddler
Home
41.3% (344)
51.6% (434)
Away
42.9% (347)
49.9% (463)
By Period
Gionta
Fiddler
P1
39.8%
45.4%
P2
46.8%
52.1%
P3
39.5%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
35.2%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
42.1%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2016 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 4, 2016 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 05:46 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |