Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stamkos wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 45.8% vs Fiddler 50.8% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 53.7%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 88.3%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 75.7%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Stamkos
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stamkos
Fiddler
Last 7: Stamkos 5-2 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
0
Stamkos
Fiddler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
2
Stamkos
Fiddler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
0
Stamkos
Fiddler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (1,055)
51.3% (840)
-5.7%
Power Play
46.6% (116)
60.0% (15)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (38)
47.8% (186)
-5.7%
On power play, Fiddler has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (890).
Stamkos shoots right. Fiddler is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Fiddler
Home
48.4% (636)
53.0% (530)
Away
42.3% (591)
48.7% (519)
By Period
Stamkos
Fiddler
P1
45.7%
53.3%
P2
46.8%
50.4%
P3
43.7%
48.2%
OT
48.0%
85.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
45.5%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2012 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 3 | 02:57 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |