Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 48.3% vs Fiddler 52.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fiddler 51.8%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 85.1%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 65.2%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Johnson
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Johnson
Fiddler
Last 9: Johnson 6-3 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
1
Johnson
Fiddler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
1
Johnson
Fiddler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
Johnson
Fiddler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (941)
55.4% (737)
-6.7%
Power Play
49.6% (133)
56.7% (30)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (201)
40.9% (215)
+3.9%
On power play, Fiddler has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Johnson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (862).
Johnson shoots right. Fiddler is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Johnson
Fiddler
Home
50.5% (588)
54.0% (489)
Away
46.1% (687)
50.5% (493)
By Period
Johnson
Fiddler
P1
49.4%
52.9%
P2
47.3%
51.6%
P3
48.1%
52.6%
OT
42.1%
41.7%
Final 5 min
45.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.2%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 13:22 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |