Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 49.6% vs Fiddler 53.6% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 79.6%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 83.0%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 56.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Seguin
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Seguin
Fiddler
Last 10: Seguin 4-6 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
1
Seguin
Fiddler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
2
Seguin
Fiddler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Seguin
Fiddler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (274)
55.2% (919)
-6.3%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
55.0% (20)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
48.5% (268)
+1.5%
On even strength, Fiddler has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Seguin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (231).
Seguin shoots right. Fiddler is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Seguin
Fiddler
Home
53.5% (129)
54.5% (583)
Away
46.6% (174)
53.4% (641)
By Period
Seguin
Fiddler
P1
52.3%
53.3%
P2
48.1%
57.0%
P3
47.8%
51.8%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.3%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2010 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 10, 2010 | 2 | 10:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 10, 2010 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 10, 2010 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 09:48 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |