Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fiddler wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fiddler 53.2% vs Rask 49.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 85.8%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 75.3%
Neutral zone
Rask 59.9%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Fiddler
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Fiddler
Rask
Last 10: Fiddler 3-7 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
4
Fiddler
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
0
Fiddler
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
2
3
Fiddler
Rask
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fiddler
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (561)
48.7% (809)
+6.0%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
60.0% (90)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (120)
47.4% (19)
+0.9%
On even strength, Fiddler has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Fiddler is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Fiddler shoots left. Rask is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Fiddler
Rask
Home
53.9% (308)
51.4% (420)
Away
53.5% (381)
48.4% (498)
By Period
Fiddler
Rask
P1
53.1%
49.1%
P2
53.2%
50.2%
P3
54.8%
50.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
53.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 15:54 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Victor Rask |