Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fiddler 50.8% vs Smith 49.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fiddler 68.8%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 72.7%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 72.6%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Fiddler
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Fiddler
Smith
Last 9: Fiddler 7-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
3
0
Fiddler
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Fiddler
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
3
0
Fiddler
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fiddler
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (840)
48.0% (761)
+3.3%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
70.4% (27)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (186)
49.5% (196)
-1.7%
On power play, Smith has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Fiddler is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Fiddler shoots left. Smith is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Fiddler
Smith
Home
53.0% (530)
49.9% (523)
Away
48.7% (519)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Fiddler
Smith
P1
53.3%
47.5%
P2
50.4%
50.4%
P3
48.2%
48.4%
OT
85.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 14:26 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 03:14 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 2 | 10:33 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |