Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 46.7% vs Rask 51.1% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 68.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 79.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Lowry
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Lowry
Rask
Last 6: Lowry 0-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Lowry
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
0
4
Lowry
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (666)
51.7% (862)
-5.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
45.3% (64)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (172)
44.4% (9)
+0.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Lowry is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Lowry shoots left. Rask is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Home / Away
Lowry
Rask
Home
49.9% (393)
53.6% (466)
Away
43.1% (452)
48.8% (469)
By Period
Lowry
Rask
P1
45.1%
52.4%
P2
44.8%
50.5%
P3
49.1%
50.8%
OT
0.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
46.3%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Victor Rask |