Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hodgson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 48.5% vs Rask 51.1% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgson 50.3%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 57.6%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 54.8%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Hodgson
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hodgson
Rask
Last 5: Hodgson 2-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
1
0
Hodgson
Rask
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Hodgson
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
Hodgson
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (97)
51.7% (862)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.4% (9)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Hodgson has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Hodgson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Hodgson shoots right. Rask is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Rask
Home
53.3% (45)
53.6% (466)
Away
41.5% (53)
48.8% (469)
By Period
Hodgson
Rask
P1
45.2%
52.4%
P2
53.5%
50.5%
P3
37.5%
50.8%
Final 5 min
31.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.9%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Victor Rask |