Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.2% vs Rask 54.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 80.3%
Defensive zone
Rask 57.8%
Neutral zone
Rask 80.0%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Backes
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Backes
Rask
Last 6: Backes 4-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (179)
54.5% (628)
-2.5%
Power Play
55.8% (52)
58.0% (88)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Backes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Backes shoots right. Rask is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Backes
Rask
Home
53.8% (160)
58.0% (355)
Away
47.6% (82)
51.8% (361)
By Period
Backes
Rask
P1
53.8%
54.5%
P2
58.0%
56.3%
P3
41.4%
54.2%
Final 5 min
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Victor Rask |