Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 42.9% vs Rask 51.1% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 69.2%
Defensive zone
Rask 87.2%
Neutral zone
Rask 87.2%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 81.2%
18.8%
81.2%
Malkin
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Malkin
Rask
Last 6: Malkin 4-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (722)
51.7% (862)
-9.2%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
45.3% (64)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
44.4% (9)
-19.4%
On penalty kill, Rask has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Malkin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (508).
Malkin shoots left. Rask is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Home / Away
Malkin
Rask
Home
43.3% (406)
53.6% (466)
Away
40.4% (349)
48.8% (469)
By Period
Malkin
Rask
P1
39.3%
52.4%
P2
43.1%
50.5%
P3
43.8%
50.8%
OT
37.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
38.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.0%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2016 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Victor Rask |