Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.9% vs Rask 49.8% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 84.9%
Defensive zone
Malkin 79.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 84.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Malkin
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Malkin
Rask
Last 6: Malkin 0-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
3
Malkin
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
3
Malkin
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (827)
48.7% (809)
-6.0%
Power Play
63.2% (19)
60.0% (90)
+3.2%
On even strength, Rask has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Malkin is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Malkin shoots left. Rask is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Malkin
Rask
Home
45.1% (426)
51.4% (420)
Away
41.2% (420)
48.4% (498)
By Period
Malkin
Rask
P1
41.3%
49.1%
P2
44.0%
50.2%
P3
44.7%
50.3%
OT
25.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.1%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Victor Rask |