Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.5% vs Rask 49.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Kuznetsov leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 75.6%
Defensive zone
Rask 73.1%
Neutral zone
Rask 77.2%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Kuznetsov
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Kuznetsov
Rask
Last 10: Kuznetsov 6-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
4
3
Kuznetsov
Rask
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
4
2
Kuznetsov
Rask
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (962)
48.7% (809)
-5.9%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
60.0% (90)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
47.4% (19)
+27.6%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Rask is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Rask
Home
42.6% (493)
51.4% (420)
Away
45.2% (544)
48.4% (498)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Rask
P1
44.0%
49.1%
P2
47.2%
50.2%
P3
40.8%
50.3%
OT
38.9%
41.7%
Final 5 min
41.6%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.0%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 16:16 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |