Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 16 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Rask 50.1% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 25-8 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Beagle 66.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 99.1%
Neutral zone
Beagle 88.5%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 89.5%
89.5%
10.5%
Beagle
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
8
(33 meetings)
25
8
Beagle
Rask
Last 10: Beagle 7-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
2
4
Beagle
Rask
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
15
1
Beagle
Rask
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
8
3
Beagle
Rask
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
50.0% (4,428)
+7.5%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
54.3% (363)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
35.2% (54)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Beagle
Rask
Home
59.1% (3,228)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Beagle
Rask
P1
57.4%
50.7%
P2
57.1%
48.9%
P3
56.2%
50.7%
OT
41.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
56.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2018 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 09:25 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Victor Rask |