Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Turris wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 52.8% vs Rask 49.8% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 65.5%
Defensive zone
Rask 64.7%
Neutral zone
Rask 65.4%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Turris
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Turris
Rask
Last 7: Turris 1-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
4
Turris
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
Turris
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Turris
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (942)
48.7% (809)
+4.0%
Power Play
54.9% (226)
60.0% (90)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (57)
47.4% (19)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Turris is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Turris shoots right. Rask is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Turris
Rask
Home
56.3% (627)
51.4% (420)
Away
49.7% (598)
48.4% (498)
By Period
Turris
Rask
P1
50.4%
49.1%
P2
53.9%
50.2%
P3
54.9%
50.3%
OT
53.8%
41.7%
Final 5 min
48.5%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2017 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 19:18 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 1, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Victor Rask |