Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.3% vs Rask 45.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Wallmark leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 55.8%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 76.9%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 74.8%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Wallmark
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Wallmark
Rask
Last 10: Wallmark 7-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
4
2
Wallmark
Rask
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
4
1
Wallmark
Rask
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (633)
44.3% (255)
+5.9%
Power Play
71.9% (32)
50.0% (14)
+21.9%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (88)
0.0% (3)
+43.2%
On penalty kill, Wallmark has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Wallmark is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Wallmark shoots left. Rask is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Rask
Home
48.6% (368)
40.6% (133)
Away
51.9% (385)
47.5% (139)
By Period
Wallmark
Rask
P1
49.0%
52.5%
P2
55.0%
37.5%
P3
47.1%
41.6%
Final 5 min
50.8%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.3%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |