Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.1%). Look for Wallmark on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.2% vs Rask 50.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Wallmark leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 73.7%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 62.4%
Neutral zone
Rask 59.2%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Wallmark
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
9
(24 meetings)
15
9
Wallmark
Rask
Last 10: Wallmark 7-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Wallmark
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
7
4
Wallmark
Rask
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
7
3
Wallmark
Rask
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,852)
50.0% (4,428)
+0.5%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
54.3% (363)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (216)
35.2% (54)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Wallmark has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Wallmark shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Rask
Home
50.8% (1,070)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
49.6% (1,101)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Wallmark
Rask
P1
51.4%
50.7%
P2
50.8%
48.9%
P3
48.7%
50.7%
OT
0.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 13:24 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 08:57 | Neutral | Victor Rask |