Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 51.1% vs Rask 49.8% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 80.1%
Defensive zone
Cullen 76.9%
Neutral zone
Rask 57.1%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Cullen
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Cullen
Rask
Last 6: Cullen 1-5 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
3
Cullen
Rask
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Cullen
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (648)
48.7% (809)
+5.3%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
60.0% (90)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (187)
47.4% (19)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Rask has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Cullen is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Cullen shoots left. Rask is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Cullen
Rask
Home
52.9% (416)
51.4% (420)
Away
49.7% (443)
48.4% (498)
By Period
Cullen
Rask
P1
53.5%
49.1%
P2
51.3%
50.2%
P3
49.2%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.6%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
51.2%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 11:28 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Victor Rask |