Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 50.6% vs Rask 47.9% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 64.9%
Defensive zone
Chaput 59.6%
Neutral zone
Rask 50.8%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Chaput
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Chaput
Rask
Last 5: Chaput 2-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Chaput
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Chaput
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (210)
46.6% (397)
+5.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
58.1% (31)
-58.1%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
50.0% (2)
-7.6%
On power play, Rask has a +58.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Chaput is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Chaput shoots left. Rask is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Chaput
Rask
Home
52.6% (133)
50.0% (202)
Away
48.6% (111)
45.2% (228)
By Period
Chaput
Rask
P1
46.6%
51.1%
P2
50.6%
43.2%
P3
56.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
50.8%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |