Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 51.2%). Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.4% vs Rask 51.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 80.3%
Defensive zone
Rask 51.6%
Neutral zone
Rask 74.1%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Bonino
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Bonino
Rask
Last 9: Bonino 7-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
1
Bonino
Rask
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (691)
51.7% (862)
-1.5%
Power Play
61.5% (78)
45.3% (64)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (149)
44.4% (9)
+1.2%
On power play, Bonino has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Bonino is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Bonino shoots left. Rask is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Home / Away
Bonino
Rask
Home
52.7% (467)
53.6% (466)
Away
48.1% (451)
48.8% (469)
By Period
Bonino
Rask
P1
48.9%
52.4%
P2
50.2%
50.5%
P3
51.7%
50.8%
OT
75.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.4%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 14:55 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 10:23 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |