Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Rask 50.1% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 58.0%
Defensive zone
Rask 81.6%
Neutral zone
Rask 75.9%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Schmaltz
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
11
(25 meetings)
14
11
Schmaltz
Rask
Last 10: Schmaltz 6-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
7
3
Schmaltz
Rask
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
4
5
Schmaltz
Rask
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Schmaltz
Rask
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
50.0% (4,428)
-8.8%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
54.3% (363)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
35.2% (54)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Schmaltz shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Rask
Home
42.7% (2,089)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Schmaltz
Rask
P1
41.1%
50.7%
P2
42.9%
48.9%
P3
43.0%
50.7%
OT
42.4%
52.1%
Final 5 min
42.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 01:42 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:46 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Victor Rask |