Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Backstrom wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 53.4% vs Rask 50.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 58.9%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 59.0%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 56.2%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Backstrom
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Backstrom
Rask
Last 10: Backstrom 7-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
1
Backstrom
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
1
Backstrom
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
4
1
Backstrom
Rask
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,314)
51.4% (863)
+2.7%
Power Play
56.2% (169)
55.9% (34)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (126)
23.8% (21)
+20.6%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Backstrom is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Backstrom shoots left. Rask is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Rask
Home
57.7% (799)
53.2% (494)
Away
49.5% (810)
48.3% (424)
By Period
Backstrom
Rask
P1
54.7%
49.2%
P2
51.7%
48.9%
P3
54.2%
54.4%
OT
58.1%
63.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
53.6%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 12:35 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 16:48 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |