Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 48.7% vs Rask 51.1% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 64.8%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 78.6%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 67.4%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Backstrom
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Backstrom
Rask
Last 6: Backstrom 1-5 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Backstrom
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Backstrom
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backstrom
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (1,097)
51.7% (862)
-3.8%
Power Play
55.7% (149)
45.3% (64)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (111)
44.4% (9)
+0.6%
On power play, Backstrom has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Backstrom is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Backstrom shoots left. Rask is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Rask
Home
51.1% (638)
53.6% (466)
Away
46.3% (719)
48.8% (469)
By Period
Backstrom
Rask
P1
44.8%
52.4%
P2
51.1%
50.5%
P3
49.4%
50.8%
OT
55.6%
53.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 10:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |