Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Thomas wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 44.6% vs Rask 46.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 70.0%
Defensive zone
Rask 64.3%
Neutral zone
Rask 62.5%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Thomas
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Thomas
Rask
Last 10: Thomas 6-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
7
4
Thomas
Rask
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thomas
Rask
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
4
3
Thomas
Rask
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (252)
45.5% (442)
-3.0%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
44.7% (38)
-0.3%
On even strength, Rask has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Thomas is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Thomas shoots right. Rask is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Thomas
Rask
Home
44.8% (125)
45.6% (228)
Away
40.6% (138)
45.2% (252)
By Period
Thomas
Rask
P1
43.2%
45.1%
P2
44.6%
45.5%
P3
40.2%
45.8%
Final 5 min
40.0%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
42.6%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2021 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| May 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| May 13, 2021 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| May 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 04:25 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:52 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Victor Rask |