Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Johansen wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Rask 50.1% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 19-8 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 68.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 83.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 64.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Johansen
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
8
(27 meetings)
19
8
Johansen
Rask
Last 10: Johansen 9-1 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
6
2
Johansen
Rask
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
8
2
Johansen
Rask
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
5
4
Johansen
Rask
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
50.0% (4,428)
+3.1%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
54.3% (363)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
35.2% (54)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Johansen shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Johansen
Rask
Home
55.0% (7,001)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Johansen
Rask
P1
53.2%
50.7%
P2
53.9%
48.9%
P3
52.8%
50.7%
OT
58.2%
52.1%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 06:47 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 06:37 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |