Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 48.2% vs Rask 49.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Gionta leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 81.4%
Defensive zone
Gionta 53.1%
Neutral zone
Rask 64.3%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Gionta
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Gionta
Rask
Last 10: Gionta 6-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
3
Gionta
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
3
1
Gionta
Rask
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
3
0
Gionta
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (86)
48.7% (809)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.0% (90)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (32)
47.4% (19)
-3.6%
On power play, Rask has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Gionta is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Gionta shoots right. Rask is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Gionta
Rask
Home
48.0% (50)
51.4% (420)
Away
45.7% (70)
48.4% (498)
By Period
Gionta
Rask
P1
55.8%
49.1%
P2
40.5%
50.2%
P3
42.9%
50.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 15:14 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |