Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.6%). Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rask 50.1% vs Smith 50.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 67.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 72.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.5%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Rask
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Rask
Smith
Last 10: Rask 0-10 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Rask
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
5
Rask
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
4
Rask
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rask
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (4,428)
51.6% (5,265)
-1.6%
Power Play
54.3% (363)
51.2% (342)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (54)
45.3% (985)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Rask shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Rask
Smith
Home
52.0% (2,380)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
48.3% (2,465)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Rask
Smith
P1
50.7%
49.9%
P2
48.9%
50.0%
P3
50.7%
51.9%
OT
52.1%
51.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 00:15 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Victor Rask |