Scouting Report
Ville Leino holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Leino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.8% vs Leino 54.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leino 59.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 88.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 72.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Spezza
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Spezza
Leino
Last 6: Spezza 5-1 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Leino
0
1
Spezza
Leino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
0
Spezza
Leino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Leino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (795)
57.6% (125)
-1.5%
Power Play
56.9% (211)
54.5% (11)
+2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Spezza is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Spezza shoots right. Leino is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Spezza
Leino
Home
56.6% (532)
55.9% (68)
Away
56.0% (678)
58.8% (68)
By Period
Spezza
Leino
P1
58.8%
59.2%
P2
59.6%
55.1%
P3
50.4%
57.9%
Final 5 min
55.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 1 | 10:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Ville Leino |