Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Leino on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smithson wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Leino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 55.7% vs Leino 45.2% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leino 75.7%
Defensive zone
Leino 60.4%
Neutral zone
Leino 71.8%
Result
Ville Leino favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Smithson
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Smithson
Leino
Last 5: Smithson 1-4 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Leino
1
2
Smithson
Leino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Leino
0
1
Smithson
Leino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Leino
0
1
Smithson
Leino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (175)
43.7% (254)
+15.7%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
43.8% (32)
+22.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (38)
0.0% (1)
+52.6%
On penalty kill, Smithson has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Smithson is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Smithson shoots right. Leino is 34.7% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Smithson
Leino
Home
63.2% (106)
45.0% (160)
Away
53.6% (110)
41.7% (127)
By Period
Smithson
Leino
P1
69.6%
43.6%
P2
48.3%
42.3%
P3
57.4%
43.7%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
64.4%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
58.3%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2013 | OT | 00:25 | Offensive | Ville Leino |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Ville Leino |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Ville Leino |