Brock Nelson vs Vincent Lecavalier
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Lecavalier holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.4% vs Lecavalier 50.7% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lecavalier 57.2%
Defensive zone
Lecavalier 50.8%
Neutral zone
Lecavalier 55.2%
Result
Vincent Lecavalier favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Nelson
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Nelson
Lecavalier
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Lecavalier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Lecavalier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
1
3
Nelson
Lecavalier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (347)
49.1% (489)
+0.5%
Power Play
20.8% (24)
59.3% (59)
-38.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
59.5% (37)
-6.6%
On power play, Lecavalier has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Nelson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Nelson shoots left. Lecavalier is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lecavalier
Home
52.9% (210)
52.4% (317)
Away
42.1% (178)
48.9% (268)
By Period
Nelson
Lecavalier
P1
43.9%
54.5%
P2
48.1%
49.0%
P3
53.1%
48.7%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.9%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 04:13 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 11:19 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |