Jason Spezza vs Vincent Lecavalier
2012-13 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lecavalier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 61.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lecavalier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.9% vs Lecavalier 53.9% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lecavalier 54.7%
Defensive zone
Spezza 53.0%
Neutral zone
Spezza 51.1%
Result
Vincent Lecavalier favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Spezza
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Spezza
Lecavalier
Last 8: Spezza 3-5 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
0
4
Spezza
Lecavalier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Lecavalier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Lecavalier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (88)
53.4% (586)
+1.1%
Power Play
75.0% (16)
59.3% (145)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (15)
45.5% (11)
+7.8%
On power play, Spezza has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Spezza is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Spezza shoots right. Lecavalier is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Spezza
Lecavalier
Home
62.2% (45)
55.6% (360)
Away
54.1% (74)
53.4% (382)
By Period
Spezza
Lecavalier
P1
58.7%
55.2%
P2
64.1%
57.9%
P3
46.9%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
57.1%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 12:17 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |