Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lecavalier on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lecavalier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.0% vs Lecavalier 53.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Lecavalier leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Lecavalier 81.1%
Defensive zone
Beagle 77.3%
Neutral zone
Lecavalier 52.7%
Result
Vincent Lecavalier favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Beagle
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Beagle
Lecavalier
Last 10: Beagle 5-5 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
1
3
Beagle
Lecavalier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
0
Beagle
Lecavalier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
2
6
Beagle
Lecavalier
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (318)
53.4% (586)
+2.3%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
59.3% (145)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (115)
45.5% (11)
+12.8%
On power play, Lecavalier has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Beagle is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Beagle shoots right. Lecavalier is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Beagle
Lecavalier
Home
58.0% (226)
55.6% (360)
Away
54.1% (218)
53.4% (382)
By Period
Beagle
Lecavalier
P1
54.7%
55.2%
P2
57.7%
57.9%
P3
56.1%
50.4%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.1%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 11:01 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 13:24 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |