Scouting Report
Vincent Lecavalier holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lecavalier on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Goc wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lecavalier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 51.9% vs Lecavalier 53.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Lecavalier leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Goc 54.2%
Defensive zone
Goc 69.8%
Neutral zone
Goc 57.4%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Goc
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Goc
Lecavalier
Last 10: Goc 4-6 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
1
4
Goc
Lecavalier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
1
7
Goc
Lecavalier
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
4
1
Goc
Lecavalier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (591)
53.4% (586)
-2.1%
Power Play
62.8% (78)
59.3% (145)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (117)
45.5% (11)
+4.1%
On penalty kill, Goc has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Goc is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Goc shoots left. Lecavalier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Goc
Lecavalier
Home
51.1% (393)
55.6% (360)
Away
53.2% (393)
53.4% (382)
By Period
Goc
Lecavalier
P1
51.0%
55.2%
P2
57.8%
57.9%
P3
48.7%
50.4%
OT
30.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.2%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 05:50 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 16, 2013 | OT | 00:46 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |