Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ott wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lecavalier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 55.0% vs Lecavalier 48.0% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 63.9%
Defensive zone
Ott 91.9%
Neutral zone
Ott 83.1%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
Ott
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ott
Lecavalier
Last 5: Ott 4-1 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
0
1
Ott
Lecavalier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
3
0
Ott
Lecavalier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
1
0
Ott
Lecavalier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (705)
47.7% (897)
+9.2%
Power Play
55.8% (154)
51.1% (227)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (145)
34.8% (23)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Ott is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Ott shoots left. Lecavalier is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (792).
Home / Away
Ott
Lecavalier
Home
54.9% (526)
51.5% (538)
Away
56.1% (485)
44.7% (624)
By Period
Ott
Lecavalier
P1
55.4%
48.3%
P2
54.0%
50.4%
P3
56.1%
44.3%
OT
73.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2012 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |