Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wilson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wilson wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 51.2% vs Trocheck 53.8% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 54.5%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 82.7%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 55.2%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Wilson
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Wilson
Trocheck
Last 5: Wilson 3-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
3
0
Wilson
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Wilson
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (79)
53.9% (1,270)
-7.1%
Power Play
62.9% (35)
62.2% (164)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
46.2% (143)
+53.8%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Wilson is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Wilson shoots left. Trocheck is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,013).
Home / Away
Wilson
Trocheck
Home
52.3% (65)
54.3% (818)
Away
52.0% (50)
53.9% (759)
By Period
Wilson
Trocheck
P1
45.9%
52.8%
P2
45.9%
56.6%
P3
65.0%
52.7%
OT
0.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
52.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |