Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.9% vs Trocheck 51.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 74.3%
Defensive zone
McCann 72.9%
Neutral zone
McCann 73.1%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
McCann
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
McCann
Trocheck
Last 8: McCann 2-6 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
McCann
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
McCann
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
McCann
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (477)
51.6% (697)
-5.1%
Power Play
46.3% (41)
55.1% (98)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (52)
54.1% (37)
-7.9%
On power play, Trocheck has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. McCann is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
McCann shoots left. Trocheck is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
McCann
Trocheck
Home
46.3% (296)
56.8% (400)
Away
46.5% (275)
47.9% (432)
By Period
McCann
Trocheck
P1
49.4%
49.1%
P2
44.5%
53.5%
P3
46.0%
54.5%
OT
42.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 06:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |