Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 59.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.6% vs Trocheck 48.2% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 82.0%
Defensive zone
Thornton 52.7%
Neutral zone
Thornton 82.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Thornton
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Thornton
Trocheck
Last 5: Thornton 5-0 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (836)
47.2% (252)
+7.9%
Power Play
60.8% (181)
67.9% (28)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (82)
41.2% (68)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Thornton is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Thornton shoots left. Trocheck is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Home / Away
Thornton
Trocheck
Home
60.4% (528)
51.1% (233)
Away
52.2% (571)
40.9% (115)
By Period
Thornton
Trocheck
P1
58.1%
47.8%
P2
55.3%
51.9%
P3
55.0%
43.4%
OT
55.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 16:54 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 06:41 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |