Mikael Backlund vs Vincent Trocheck
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Backlund wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 72.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 94.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 80.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Backlund
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Backlund
Trocheck
Last 8: Backlund 1-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
5
Backlund
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Backlund
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
57.6% (1,061)
-6.6%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
65.1% (338)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
49.5% (101)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Backlund shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Backlund
Trocheck
Home
51.2% (782)
61.8% (735)
Away
49.4% (765)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Backlund
Trocheck
P1
51.5%
57.7%
P2
49.8%
57.9%
P3
49.9%
60.4%
OT
37.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |