Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Greig wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 45.0% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 89.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 60.5%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 77.9%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 79.0%
21.0%
79.0%
Greig
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Greig
Trocheck
Last 10: Greig 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
3
1
Greig
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Greig
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Greig
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (414)
57.6% (1,061)
-12.4%
Power Play
28.6% (14)
65.1% (338)
-36.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (21)
49.5% (101)
-20.9%
On power play, Trocheck has a +36.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Greig is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Greig shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Greig
Trocheck
Home
46.4% (196)
61.8% (735)
Away
41.9% (253)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Greig
Trocheck
P1
40.8%
57.7%
P2
46.4%
57.9%
P3
43.9%
60.4%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 05:55 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |