Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nash wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 50.9% vs Trocheck 48.9% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 55.3%
Defensive zone
Nash 58.1%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 51.8%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Nash
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nash
Trocheck
Last 5: Nash 4-1 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
3
0
Nash
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Nash
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
0
Nash
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (752)
48.4% (446)
+1.7%
Power Play
53.8% (104)
56.7% (30)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (102)
20.0% (5)
+33.9%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Nash is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Nash shoots right. Trocheck is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Nash
Trocheck
Home
51.0% (502)
55.5% (238)
Away
50.9% (456)
42.0% (243)
By Period
Nash
Trocheck
P1
49.4%
50.0%
P2
50.9%
44.0%
P3
52.1%
52.0%
OT
63.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.6%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 01:27 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Riley Nash |