Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Carrick wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.0% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 69.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 89.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 62.2%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Carrick
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Carrick
Trocheck
Last 6: Carrick 2-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
4
Carrick
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
0
Carrick
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (521)
57.6% (1,061)
-3.7%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
65.1% (338)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (229)
49.5% (101)
+2.0%
On power play, Trocheck has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Carrick is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Carrick shoots right. Trocheck is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Home / Away
Carrick
Trocheck
Home
52.7% (408)
61.8% (735)
Away
54.1% (377)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Carrick
Trocheck
P1
51.4%
57.7%
P2
56.6%
57.9%
P3
52.1%
60.4%
Final 5 min
57.7%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |