Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Steel wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 49.4% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 60.5%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 76.6%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 51.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Steel
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Steel
Trocheck
Last 5: Steel 3-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Steel
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
3
0
Steel
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (383)
54.3% (955)
-5.0%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
64.6% (96)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
51.0% (194)
-36.7%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Steel is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Steel shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
Steel
Trocheck
Home
49.4% (180)
58.3% (604)
Away
49.1% (232)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Steel
Trocheck
P1
51.9%
53.9%
P2
43.8%
55.7%
P3
52.6%
54.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:51 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Sam Steel |