Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 48.8% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 87.9%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 82.3%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 76.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 78.5%
21.5%
78.5%
Steel
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Steel
Trocheck
Last 5: Steel 4-1 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
0
Steel
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
1
Steel
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (553)
55.0% (956)
-5.5%
Power Play
61.3% (31)
59.8% (266)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (49)
56.3% (64)
-25.7%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Steel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Steel shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Steel
Trocheck
Home
46.4% (347)
57.7% (673)
Away
51.4% (286)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Steel
Trocheck
P1
52.1%
55.4%
P2
49.8%
55.6%
P3
45.2%
56.4%
OT
0.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
42.8%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Sam Steel |