Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bozak wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 53.0% vs Trocheck 48.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 60.6%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 65.3%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 60.8%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Bozak
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bozak
Trocheck
Last 5: Bozak 1-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Bozak
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Bozak
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Bozak
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,244)
48.4% (446)
+5.4%
Power Play
53.1% (356)
56.7% (30)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (175)
20.0% (5)
+29.1%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Bozak is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Bozak shoots right. Trocheck is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Bozak
Trocheck
Home
57.7% (892)
55.5% (238)
Away
48.6% (883)
42.0% (243)
By Period
Bozak
Trocheck
P1
54.0%
50.0%
P2
54.4%
44.0%
P3
51.0%
52.0%
OT
56.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.6%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |