Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.1%). Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rask 54.3% vs Trocheck 53.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 60.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 81.1%
Neutral zone
Rask 50.9%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Rask
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Rask
Trocheck
Last 6: Rask 1-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Rask
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
4
Rask
Trocheck
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rask
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (628)
53.9% (1,270)
+0.6%
Power Play
58.0% (88)
62.2% (164)
-4.2%
On power play, Trocheck has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Rask is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Rask shoots left. Trocheck is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,013).
Home / Away
Rask
Trocheck
Home
58.0% (355)
54.3% (818)
Away
51.8% (361)
53.9% (759)
By Period
Rask
Trocheck
P1
54.5%
52.8%
P2
56.3%
56.6%
P3
54.2%
52.7%
OT
0.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
54.9%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |